In a March 8, 2026 interview reported by the Kyiv Post, Sergiy Nikolaychuk, first deputy governor of Ukraine’s central bank, said that even if current AI valuations prove to be a bubble, a correction would more likely resemble the dot‑com bust than the global financial crisis of 2008. He argued that today’s financial system is less exposed to a single sector shock and that many economies, including Ukraine, have strengthened against US‑led turbulence.
This article aggregates reporting from 1 news source. The TL;DR is AI-generated from original reporting. Race to AGI's analysis provides editorial context on implications for AGI development.
Nikolaychuk’s comments matter because they frame the AI boom as a manageable financial risk rather than a systemic one. If central bankers and regulators broadly agree that even a sharp AI correction would look like 2000, not 2008, they are less likely to lean hard against capital flowing into frontier compute, chips and models. That, in turn, makes it easier for hyperscalers and AI startups to keep raising money at aggressive valuations and to sustain multi‑year capex plans without triggering macroprudential crackdowns.
However, the comparison to the dot‑com era also carries a quieter warning: many firms and investors will almost certainly misallocate capital chasing AI narratives, and some will be wiped out when expectations reset. For the AGI race, that suggests a noisy decade in which the underlying capability frontier keeps advancing, even as waves of exuberance and disappointment wash over public markets. The labs that can convert capex into durable moats—data, talent, integrated products—will be best positioned to ride out whatever bubble dynamics unfold.


